BFA vs Garliava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFA v Garliava — Team-Based Signals
BFA vs Garliava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Garliava
LIT1
1-1
BFA
LIT1
0-3
HT 0-1
BFA
LIT1
BFA 2-1 Garliava — Actual Match Statistics
BFA edged past Garliava 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Garliava at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, BFA had 42% of the ball to Garliava's 58%, shots finished 20-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFA had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BFA and 0.83 for Garliava.
What was the final score of BFA vs Garliava?
BFA 2-1 Garliava in the Lithuania - Cup on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFA vs Garliava?
Before kick-off our model rated an Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split BFA 28%, draw 27%, Garliava 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Garliava) went the other way.