BFA vs Garliava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFA v Garliava — Team-Based Signals
BFA vs Garliava Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Garliava
LIT1
1-1
BFA
LIT1
0-3
HT 0-1
BFA
LIT1
Garliava nicked a narrow win over BFA 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Garliava found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, BFA had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for BFA and 0.60 for Garliava.
What was the final score of BFA vs Garliava?
BFA 1-2 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFA vs Garliava?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split BFA 40%, draw 23%, Garliava 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.