Atmosfera 1-1 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.4pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 43%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +19%
1.49/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.09
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Babrungas
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2025 Babrungas Babrungas 3-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
17.05.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
08.11.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 0-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
21.06.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
10.07.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 7-1 HT 3-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
18.03.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
1-1
AWAY Babrungas
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera and Babrungas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Babrungas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atmosfera had 45% of the ball to Babrungas's 55%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atmosfera and 2.33 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Babrungas?

Atmosfera 1-1 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 35%, draw 23%, Babrungas 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Babrungas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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