Atmosfera 1-1 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.29
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
25%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
27%
-6.7pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.1pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
0.89/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.14
-27% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
235 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Babrungas
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 0-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
21.06.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
10.07.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 7-1 HT 3-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
18.03.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
1-1
AWAY Babrungas
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera and Babrungas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Babrungas at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Atmosfera had 54% of the ball to Babrungas's 46%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Atmosfera and 2.50 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Babrungas?

Atmosfera 1-1 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 20%, draw 35%, Babrungas 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Babrungas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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