Nevezis 0-4 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 50%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
0.83/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.84
-40% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
223 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
24.05.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 0-2 HT 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
28.10.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 0-3 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
09.06.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-0 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
26.08.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
15.04.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 HT 1-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda cruised past Nevezis 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nevezis and 1.33 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Nevezis 0-4 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 33%, draw 21%, Neptüna Klaipeda 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
17 May 2025
14:00 Tauras Taurage vs Lietava Jonava Analysis →
14:00 Atmosfera vs Babrungas Analysis →
18:00 BFA vs TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis →