Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.91/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.66
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Nevezis
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 0-2 HT 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
28.10.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 0-3 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
09.06.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-0 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
26.08.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
15.04.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 HT 1-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
0-1
AWAY Nevezis
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis edged past Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Neptüna Klaipeda at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neptüna Klaipeda had 66% of the ball to Nevezis's 34%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 0.60 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Nevezis?

Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 46%, draw 29%, Nevezis 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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