Garliava 2-0 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garliava EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.53/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.56
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Garliava
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hegelmann II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.05.2024 Hegelmann II 1-1 HT 0-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Garliava
2-0
AWAY Hegelmann II
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Garliava vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Garliava saw off Hegelmann II 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Garliava as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Garliava had 55% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 45%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Garliava vs Hegelmann II?

Garliava 2-0 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garliava vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Garliava 43%, draw 24%, Hegelmann II 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Garliava) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Garliava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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