FA Siauliai II 0-1 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.98
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.6pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.7pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 32%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.17/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.84
-27% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Panevezys II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-4 HT 0-2 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
11.10.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
29.05.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-3 HT 2-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
03.10.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
29.05.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 2-5 HT 0-2 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai II
0-1
AWAY Panevezys II
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II squeezed past FA Siauliai II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FA Siauliai II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FA Siauliai II had 58% of the ball to Panevezys II's 42%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FA Siauliai II and 1.80 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Panevezys II?

FA Siauliai II 0-1 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 42%, draw 24%, Panevezys II 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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