Hegelmann II 1-1 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

Hegelmann II
1-1 HT 0-0
Garliava
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Hegelmann II vs Garliava Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hegelmann II v Garliava — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II and Garliava shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Garliava?

Hegelmann II 1-1 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 32%, draw 28%, Garliava 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Garliava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Garliava) ✓ BTTS Yes
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