Banga Gargzdai 0-3 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
39%
2.94
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.6pp
39%
Draw
30%
+9.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 31%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.62/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.02
+10% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
16.09.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
09.07.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
03.05.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
18.03.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
19.11.2021 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus cruised past Banga Gargzdai 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 39% / 28% — and on the day FK Dainava Alytus made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.00 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Banga Gargzdai 0-3 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 32%, draw 39%, FK Dainava Alytus 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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