FA Siauliai 1-2 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +18%
1.21/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.58
-4% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +81%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
22.10.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
06.08.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
04.06.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
04.04.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
20.11.2022 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 HT 3-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
1-2
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius nicked a narrow win over FA Siauliai 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 42% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 58%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FA Siauliai and 2.00 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FA Siauliai 1-2 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 24%, draw 29%, Zalgiris Vilnius 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5
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