Nevezis 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
51%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
26%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
31%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
51%
Away Win
43%
+7.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 48%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.25/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.73
-81% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 0-3 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
09.06.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-0 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
26.08.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
15.04.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 HT 1-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda saw off Nevezis 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nevezis and 1.50 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Nevezis 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 25%, draw 24%, Neptüna Klaipeda 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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