Be1 NFA 2-0 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.49/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.92
-10% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Babrungas
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
30.04.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 0-2 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
08.10.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 0-1 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
03.06.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 0-0 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
2-0
AWAY Babrungas
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA beat Babrungas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 57% of the ball to Babrungas's 43%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Be1 NFA and 0.00 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Babrungas?

Be1 NFA 2-0 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 52%, draw 25%, Babrungas 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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