BFA 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
48%
Away Win
61%
-13.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 66%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.91/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.13/1.43
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
224 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
0W-0D-2L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2023 BFA BFA 1-4 HT 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
27.05.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
1-2
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BFA vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius nicked a narrow win over BFA 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had TransINVEST Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, BFA had 45% of the ball to TransINVEST Vilnius's 55%, shots finished 9-21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, TransINVEST Vilnius led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for BFA and 3.00 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of BFA vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

BFA 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split BFA 29%, draw 23%, TransINVEST Vilnius 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5
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