Babrungas 3-0 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
2.13/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.38
+39% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Atmosfera
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
08.11.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 0-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
21.06.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
10.07.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 7-1 HT 3-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
18.03.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babrungas
3-0
AWAY Atmosfera
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas ran out comfortable winners over Atmosfera 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Babrungas had 54% of the ball to Atmosfera's 46%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Babrungas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Babrungas and 0.40 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Atmosfera?

Babrungas 3-0 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 41%, draw 23%, Atmosfera 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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