Minija 2-0 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-4.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.2pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 17%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.55/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.91
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hegelmann II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Hegelmann II 0-1 HT 0-1 Minija Minija LIT1
20.10.2024 Hegelmann II 1-0 Minija Minija LIT1
01.06.2024 Minija Minija 3-2 HT 2-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minija
2-0
AWAY Hegelmann II
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija saw off Hegelmann II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Minija had 48% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 52%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Minija had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Minija and 1.00 for Hegelmann II.

What was the final score of Minija vs Hegelmann II?

Minija 2-0 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Minija 60%, draw 19%, Hegelmann II 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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