Hegelmann II 1-0 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-7.6pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 40%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.39/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.12
-10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
455 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Minija
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.06.2024 Minija Minija 3-2 HT 2-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
1-0
AWAY Minija
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II squeezed past Minija 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Hegelmann II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 40% of the ball to Minija's 60%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Minija?

Hegelmann II 1-0 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 32%, draw 32%, Minija 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Minija), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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