FK BANGA II 0-2 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
58%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.38
Over 2.5
45%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.76
No
60%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
58%
Away Win
67%
-8.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+17.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-17.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.5pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK BANGA II EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 71%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
0.41/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.51
-59% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -64%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK BANGA II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Garliava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2024 Garliava Garliava 1-2 HT 0-2 FK BANGA II LIT1
14.10.2022 Garliava Garliava 1-0 HT 1-0 FK BANGA II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK BANGA II
0-2
AWAY Garliava
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK BANGA II vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Garliava got the better of FK BANGA II 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Garliava as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FK BANGA II had 51% of the ball to Garliava's 49%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK BANGA II and 1.00 for Garliava.

What was the final score of FK BANGA II vs Garliava?

FK BANGA II 0-2 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK BANGA II vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FK BANGA II 20%, draw 22%, Garliava 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Garliava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Garliava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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