Hegelmann II 0-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.08/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.63
+31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Minija
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Hegelmann II 1-0 Minija Minija LIT1
01.06.2024 Minija Minija 3-2 HT 2-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
0-1
AWAY Minija
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija edged past Hegelmann II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 54% of the ball to Minija's 46%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hegelmann II and 1.50 for Minija.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Minija?

Hegelmann II 0-1 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 43%, draw 31%, Minija 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hegelmann II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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