Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.1pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.7pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
2.16/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.67
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nevezis
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 Nevezis Nevezis 0-4 HT 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
11.10.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
24.05.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 0-2 HT 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
28.10.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 0-3 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
09.06.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-0 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
26.08.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
1-0
AWAY Nevezis
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda squeezed past Nevezis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Neptüna Klaipeda had 55% of the ball to Nevezis's 45%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 0.50 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Nevezis?

Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 63%, draw 20%, Nevezis 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
19 Sep 2025
18:00 Babrungas vs Atmosfera Analysis →
18:00 Minija vs Hegelmann II Analysis →