Minija 3-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.73/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.59
-8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
28.08.2022 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 5-1 HT 4-1 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija saw off FK Dainava Alytus 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Minija vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Minija 3-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Minija 49%, draw 28%, FK Dainava Alytus 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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