Guarani FC vs Ituano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guarani FC v Ituano — Team-Based Signals
Guarani FC vs Ituano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Guarani FC
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Ituano
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Ituano
BREPAU
2-1
HT 1-0
Guarani FC
BR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Ituano
BR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Guarani FC
BREPAU
Guarani FC 3-3 Ituano — Actual Match Statistics
Guarani FC and Ituano shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Guarani FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guarani FC had 67% of the ball to Ituano's 33%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.20 to 1.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ituano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guarani FC and 1.33 for Ituano.
What was the final score of Guarani FC vs Ituano?
Guarani FC 3-3 Ituano in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guarani FC vs Ituano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guarani FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Guarani FC 46%, draw 30%, Ituano 24%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.