Novorizontino 1-1 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.98
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
55%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.56/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.59
-1% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
25.3 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-1
AWAY Amazonas
0.38 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
336 Passes 361
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino and Amazonas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Novorizontino at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Novorizontino had 50% of the ball to Amazonas's 50%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.38 to 0.76.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Amazonas?

Novorizontino 1-1 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 46%, draw 30%, Amazonas 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novorizontino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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