TPS Turku 2-2 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 26% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.36/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.58
+4% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
2W-3D-1L
AWAY PK-35 ry
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
04.08.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-1 HT 2-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
06.06.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
07.08.2021 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
06.06.2021 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
20.02.2021 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-2 HT 1-2 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
2-2
AWAY PK-35 ry
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku and PK-35 ry shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was TPS Turku at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, TPS Turku had 61% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 39%, shots finished 6-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for TPS Turku and 1.00 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs PK-35 ry?

TPS Turku 2-2 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 53%, draw 22%, PK-35 ry 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TPS Turku), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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