KaPa 0-3 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Jun 2024

KaPa
0-3 HT 0-1
Jaro
📅19/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
25%
+11.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 56%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.37/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.14
+20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Jaro
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
24.04.2024 Jaro Jaro 4-2 HT 2-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
27.01.2024 Jaro Jaro 4-0 KaPa KaPa FINYK
07.10.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-4 HT 1-1 KaPa KaPa FINY
09.07.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN2
22.04.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
0-3
AWAY Jaro
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KaPa vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro swept aside KaPa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, KaPa had 57% of the ball to Jaro's 43%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for KaPa and 2.60 for Jaro.

What was the final score of KaPa vs Jaro?

KaPa 0-3 Jaro in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KaPa 36%, draw 21%, Jaro 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✗ BTTS Yes
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