Jaro 4-2 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 24 Apr 2024

Jaro
4-2 HT 2-0
KaPa
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.82
6+ Goals
15%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.39/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.73
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
507 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-1D-1L
AWAY KaPa
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Jaro Jaro 4-0 KaPa KaPa FINYK
07.10.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-4 HT 1-1 KaPa KaPa FINY
09.07.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN2
22.04.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
4-2
AWAY KaPa
53% Ball Possession 47%
27 Total Shots 7
14 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jaro vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro saw off KaPa 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jaro had 53% of the ball to KaPa's 47%, shots finished 27-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jaro had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Jaro and 1.75 for KaPa.

What was the final score of Jaro vs KaPa?

Jaro 4-2 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Jaro 59%, draw 23%, KaPa 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
24 Apr 2024
18:30 KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia Analysis →
18:30 Mikkeli vs JIPPO Analysis →
18:30 JaPS vs SalPa Salo Analysis →
18:30 PK-35 ry vs TPS Turku Analysis →