KTP Kotka 5-1 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.4
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.59/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.06
+14% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
3W-1D-0L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
12.08.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
11.06.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-1 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
07.09.2020 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
04.07.2020 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
5-1
AWAY SJK Akatemia
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka ran out comfortable winners over SJK Akatemia 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 53% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 47%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for KTP Kotka and 0.25 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia?

KTP Kotka 5-1 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 50%, draw 23%, SJK Akatemia 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
24 Apr 2024
18:30 Mikkeli vs JIPPO Analysis →
18:30 Jaro vs KaPa Analysis →
18:30 JaPS vs SalPa Salo Analysis →
18:30 PK-35 ry vs TPS Turku Analysis →