Gor Mahia 2-4 Talanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.8pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Talanta EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -70%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Talanta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
17.12.2023 Talanta 0-2 HT 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
16.01.2022 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 2-0 HT 0-0 Talanta KEN2
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talanta got the better of Gor Mahia 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Talanta made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gor Mahia and 0.00 for Talanta.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Talanta?

Gor Mahia 2-4 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Talanta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talanta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 36%, draw 25%, Talanta 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talanta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Talanta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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