19/06/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Police vs Bandari Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
26%
Draw
29%
27%
Away Win
27%
53%
Under 2.5
62%
47%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
50%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Police v Bandari — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Police
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bandari
EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+30% /
+30%
1.25/0.95
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.33/0.00
+62%
/
-43%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-54%
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
339 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
324 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Police vs Bandari Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Police
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Bandari
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
08.01.2022
Bandari
0-0
HT 0-0
Police
KEN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Police
KEN2
POST-MATCH
Police vs Bandari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Police and Bandari played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Police at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Police vs Bandari?
Police 0-0 Bandari in the Kenya - Premier League on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Police vs Bandari?
Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Police 47%, draw 26%, Bandari 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Police) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Police)
✓ Under 2.5
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KEN
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19 Jun 2024