LDU Quito 3-1 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.63/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.42
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 75%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
22.2 Crosses 14.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.17 xG 0.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
307 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-0 HT 2-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
23.05.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.09.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
16.04.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
29.08.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.04.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
3-1
AWAY Barcelona SC
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito saw off Barcelona SC 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 58% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 42%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC?

LDU Quito 3-1 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 51%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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