Al-Qasim 0-1 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.1pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.48
-14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +112%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al-Qasim vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala squeezed past Al-Qasim 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al-Qasim at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Diala?

Al-Qasim 0-1 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qasim win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 50%, draw 28%, Diala 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al-Qasim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qasim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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