Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-2 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.64
Draw
37%
3.35
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
15%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
57%
-17.4pp
37%
Draw
26%
+10.3pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.95/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/1.36
+23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Erbil
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
04.02.2025 Erbil Erbil 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil edged past Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 37% / 24% — and on the day Erbil made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-2 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 39%, draw 37%, Erbil 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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