Tobacco Road 2-5 Charlotte Independence II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
16%
3.64
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.23
Over 2.5
69%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.5
No
36%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.7pp
16%
Draw
24%
-8.0pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.2pp
31%
Under 2.5
41%
-10.0pp
69%
Over 2.5
59%
+10.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
62%
+1.2pp
36%
BTTS No
38%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence II EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+42% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
291 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobacco Road
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Charlotte Independence II
5.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29.06.2023 Charlotte Independence II Charlotte Independence II 1-5 HT 0-1 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
01.06.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 6-5 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence II Charlotte Independence II USL2
POST-MATCH Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Independence II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence II swept aside Tobacco Road 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlotte Independence II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tobacco Road had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.50 goals for Tobacco Road and 3.00 for Charlotte Independence II.

What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Independence II?

Tobacco Road 2-5 Charlotte Independence II in the USA - USL League 2 on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Independence II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlotte Independence II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 39%, draw 16%, Charlotte Independence II 45%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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