Meksika 1-0 Güney Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 19 Jun 2026

📅19/06/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.8
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.76
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
20%
4.75
X/2
15%
7.86
X/X
10%
4.1
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
9%
6.11
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 28%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.58/3.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/2.20
-91% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +90%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
22.0 Crosses 17.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Güney Kore
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.48 xG 1.11
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
450 Passes 327
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2025 Meksika Meksika 2-2 HT 1-0 Güney Kore Güney Kore HAZ
14.11.2020 Meksika Meksika 3-2 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore HAZ
23.06.2018 Güney Kore Güney Kore 1-2 HT 0-1 Meksika Meksika DK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika
1-0
AWAY Güney Kore
0.53 xG 0.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
349 Passes 488
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Box Touches 11
6 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Meksika vs Güney Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika nicked a narrow win over Güney Kore 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Meksika had 42% of the ball to Güney Kore's 58%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.53 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Meksika had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Meksika and 1.67 for Güney Kore.

What was the final score of Meksika vs Güney Kore?

Meksika 1-0 Güney Kore in the World Cup on 19/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika vs Güney Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Meksika 50%, draw 23%, Güney Kore 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meksika) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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