Ansbach 09 1-4 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.3pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.6pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 57%
+17% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.62/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.41
+29% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansbach 09
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Nürnberg II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
4 Corners 4
09.03.2024 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 0-3 HT 0-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
29.08.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-0 HT 1-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
20.08.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-2 HT 2-2 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansbach 09
1-4
AWAY Nürnberg II
47% Ball Possession 53%
34 Total Shots 21
13 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ansbach 09 vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II ran out comfortable winners over Ansbach 09 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nürnberg II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ansbach 09 had 47% of the ball to Nürnberg II's 53%, shots finished 34-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ansbach 09 and 2.25 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Ansbach 09 vs Nürnberg II?

Ansbach 09 1-4 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansbach 09 vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ansbach 09 24%, draw 30%, Nürnberg II 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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