Schwaben Augsburg 2-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.8pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schwaben Augsburg
2-1
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Schwaben Augsburg vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schwaben Augsburg nicked a narrow win over Viktoria Aschaffenburg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Schwaben Augsburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Schwaben Augsburg had 49% of the ball to Viktoria Aschaffenburg's 51%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of Schwaben Augsburg vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Schwaben Augsburg 2-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schwaben Augsburg vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schwaben Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Schwaben Augsburg 43%, draw 25%, Viktoria Aschaffenburg 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schwaben Augsburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Schwaben Augsburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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