Cherno More Varna 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 21%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.98/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/0.58
+29% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +98%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
1W-3D-0L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
22.09.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
20.05.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
30.04.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
0-0
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna and CSKA 1948 Sofia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Cherno More Varna at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 62% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 38%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.75 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Cherno More Varna 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 45%, draw 30%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
19 Jul 2024
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