Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
52%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
20%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
52%
Away Win
56%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 60%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.60
+135% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +44%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
06.04.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
17.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
08.07.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
02.05.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
18.03.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
0-2
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen saw off Dziugas Telsiai 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dziugas Telsiai had 47% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 53%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.17 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 23%, draw 25%, Hegelmann Litauen 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ BTTS No
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