Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
10%
4.31
X/2
7%
7.37
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
16%
5.63
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -15%
1.40/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.58
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
23.4 Crosses 23.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.61
44% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 385
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
10.09.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
05.02.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-0 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
08.08.2021 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-1 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
10.04.2021 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-1 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
20.11.2020 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 3-2 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
1-1
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.59 xG 0.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
410 Passes 251
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slask Wroclaw and Lechia Gdansk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Slask Wroclaw at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 60% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 40%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 1.59 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 1.33 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Lechia Gdansk?

Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slask Wroclaw win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 46%, draw 26%, Lechia Gdansk 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) ✗ BTTS No
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