Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-3 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 28%
+13% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.78/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.55
+56% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.4 Crosses 22.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.08 xG 0.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 262
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-0 HT 0-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
01.10.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-2 HT 0-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2-3
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.78 xG 1.73
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 Passes 147
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo edged past Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 63% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 37%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.78 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 0.00 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-3 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 53%, draw 24%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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