Napredak Krusevac 0-1 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
54%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.6pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-12.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 71%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
0.61/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.82
-55% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
11.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.6
20.7 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FK Partizan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.59 xG 2.28
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
223 Passes 381
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 51
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 3-3 HT 2-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
13.03.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.10.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
05.02.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
20.10.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.05.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0-1
AWAY FK Partizan
0.69 xG 2.21
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
278 Passes 490
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan squeezed past Napredak Krusevac 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 38% of the ball to FK Partizan's 62%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.69 to 2.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FK Partizan's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.67 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs FK Partizan?

Napredak Krusevac 0-1 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 23%, draw 23%, FK Partizan 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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