UCV 1-0 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.27/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.95
+1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
20.5 Crosses 10.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Angostura FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
279 Passes 201
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
11.08.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-1 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
03.04.2023 UCV UCV 1-2 HT 1-2 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-0
AWAY Angostura FC
0.82 xG 1.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
252 Passes 278
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UCV vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV nicked a narrow win over Angostura FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had UCV as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UCV had 48% of the ball to Angostura FC's 52%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.82 to 1.66 — on chances, Angostura FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Angostura FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UCV and 1.00 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of UCV vs Angostura FC?

UCV 1-0 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split UCV 42%, draw 29%, Angostura FC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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