Carabobo 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.8pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
0.89/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.82
-4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.6 Crosses 20.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 0.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
266 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.07.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-2 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VENK
21.06.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VENK
13.05.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
06.05.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
03.02.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.08.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
2-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.65 xG 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
219 Passes 336
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo squeezed past Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Carabobo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carabobo had 41% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 59%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.65 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carabobo and 0.83 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Carabobo 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 37%, draw 34%, Academia Puerto Cabello 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
19 Jul 2024
00:00 UCV vs Angostura FC Analysis →