Carabobo 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
45%
-11.1pp
38%
Draw
31%
+7.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.15/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.88
-16% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.9 Crosses 19.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
312 Passes 254
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.05.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
03.02.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.08.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.03.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 0-2 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
09.07.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.05.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.01 xG 0.98
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
218 Passes 378
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo and Academia Puerto Cabello couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 38% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Carabobo had 39% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 61%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.01 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Carabobo and 1.00 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Carabobo 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 34%, draw 38%, Academia Puerto Cabello 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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