Angostura FC vs Portuguesa FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Angostura FC v Portuguesa FC — Team-Based Signals
Angostura FC vs Portuguesa FC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Portuguesa FC
VEN
0-2
HT 0-1
Angostura FC
VEN
Angostura FC 3-4 Portuguesa FC — Actual Match Statistics
Portuguesa FC squeezed past Angostura FC 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Angostura FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Angostura FC had 51% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 49%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.62 to 2.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Portuguesa FC's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Angostura FC and 1.00 for Portuguesa FC.
What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Portuguesa FC?
Angostura FC 3-4 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Portuguesa FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Angostura FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 45%, draw 25%, Portuguesa FC 30%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.