Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
75%
-16.7pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.3pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+14.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Carabobo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.82 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
279 Passes 293
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
06.05.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
03.02.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.08.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.03.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 0-2 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
09.07.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
0-1
AWAY Carabobo
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo squeezed past Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Academia Puerto Cabello carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 53% of the ball to Carabobo's 47%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.83 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo?

Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Carabobo in the VENK on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 58%, draw 24%, Carabobo 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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