Deportivo La Guaira 3-3 Maritimo Ven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-10.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo Ven EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
438 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3-3
AWAY Maritimo Ven
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Maritimo Ven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira and Maritimo Ven shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo La Guaira carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 58% of the ball to Maritimo Ven's 42%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Maritimo Ven?

Deportivo La Guaira 3-3 Maritimo Ven in the VENK on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Maritimo Ven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 57%, draw 23%, Maritimo Ven 19%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Over 2.5
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