Carabobo 1-2 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.96
No
41%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-11.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
47%
+12.2pp
41%
BTTS No
53%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
293 Passes 279
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.06.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VENK
13.05.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
06.05.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
03.02.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.08.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.03.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 0-2 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-2
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello edged past Carabobo 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Academia Puerto Cabello as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carabobo had 38% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 62%, shots finished 3-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carabobo and 0.83 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Carabobo 1-2 Academia Puerto Cabello in the VENK on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 22%, draw 25%, Academia Puerto Cabello 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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