Colo Colo 2-1 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.69/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.66
+0% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.9 Crosses 12.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colo Colo
5W-1D-0L
AWAY La Serena
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.47 xG 0.61
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 224
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-3 HT 0-1 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
11.07.2022 Colo Colo Colo Colo 3-0 HT 3-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
14.02.2022 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 0-1 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
20.10.2021 La Serena La Serena 1-4 HT 0-2 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİL
05.07.2021 Colo Colo Colo Colo 4-0 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİK
01.07.2021 La Serena La Serena 1-3 HT 1-1 Colo Colo Colo Colo ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colo Colo
2-1
AWAY La Serena
1.61 xG 1.43
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
478 Passes 294
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colo Colo vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colo Colo nicked a narrow win over La Serena 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colo Colo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Colo Colo had 61% of the ball to La Serena's 39%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.61 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colo Colo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Colo Colo and 0.67 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Colo Colo vs La Serena?

Colo Colo 2-1 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colo Colo vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colo Colo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Colo Colo 56%, draw 24%, La Serena 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colo Colo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colo Colo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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