Union Espanola 3-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.37/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.27
+31% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.2 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.37 xG 2.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
411 Passes 277
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 4-0 HT 2-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
20.10.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-2 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
08.06.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
25.11.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 4-0 HT 3-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
10.05.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-2 HT 2-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.11.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
3-1
AWAY Union La Calera
1.97 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
251 Passes 321
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 9
36 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola saw off Union La Calera 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Union Espanola made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Espanola had 46% of the ball to Union La Calera's 54%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 1.97 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Espanola and 2.17 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Union La Calera?

Union Espanola 3-1 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 38%, draw 29%, Union La Calera 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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